The essence of technical analysis involves studying of past financial market data to forecast price trends and make an investment decision based on this. When the company pays dividends, instead of paying this as cash, the company buys shares at the market value. The more certain we feel about the business, the closer we’re willing to play.” I’m inclined to take these seemingly contradictory guidelines from Buffett and from there derive a reasonable estimate of the discount rate as part of my stock research.
A stock’s intrinsic value is derived from the economic value of the underlying business. The secret of great returns is to invest in great companies, join a dividend reinvestment program and keep the money in those shares for a long time. Fundamentally, value investing involves buying stocks that are undervalued, fallen out-of -favor in the Market due to investor irrationality.
However, you may find value stocks listed on the lists of the companies that have hit a 52-week low. Essentially, no matter what stocks we invest in, we want a strategy that ensures we can earn much more than we could get from purchasing say a “risk-free” 10 year U.S. government bond generating approx.
I don’t want you to invest money in stocks if you might need that money to eat next week or pay the rent., stocks can go down. Any value-investing strategy is very important for investors, as it can provide substantial profits in the long-haul, once the market inevitably re-evaluates the stock and raises its price for a stock to fair value.
Value investors can use technical analysis to identity investments who are over speculated. Warren Buffet uses value investing to pick his stocks. One of the most amazing things about Benjamin Graham is that he actually felt bonds where safer and more probable of an investments than stocks.